General information
Code: V4-1608
Period: 1.10.2016 - 30.9.2019
Project leader at FDV: izr.prof.dr. Marko Lovec
Research activity: Biotechnical sciences
Abstract
Impacts and perspectives of CAP on Slovenian agriculture and rural areas
The goals, instruments, amount of funding and implementation of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) importantly affect the economic situation in agriculture, as well its related sectors – forestry and agro-food, the state of the environment, and rural settlement and vitality. Due to various external (the international community) and internal (public opinion, budgetary considerations, the institutional development of the Union) factors, the CAP changes in fairly regular seven-year cycles. These reforms change the structure and amount of support funding. The policy is becoming more transparent and is introducing new goals and intentions; its environmental aspect is becoming more accentuated and markets are becoming less regulated. However, its supporting nature and the approximate level of funding remain. In 2016 a new reform cycle is beginning and it will culminate in the change of the CAP's basic regulations, presumably in the years 2018/19. We can only conjecture as to the actual radicality of reform and possible paradigm changes (Buckwell, 2015), but at the moment it seems that the changes will be less pronounced and that the key elements of the 2013 reform will remain in place.
This study is intended to support the decision-making of governmental and non-governmental actors in the process of amending or adopting new CAP regulations (direct payments, market intervention, rural development). We wish to develop a broad array and focus of contextual and quantitative analysis that will en gender new knowledge regarding the effects of current measures and possibilities of new policies. There have been no integral and quantitative data-supported analyses of the effects of both CAP Pillars since Slovenia's accession to the EU. This is therefore the first key purpose of this study. We wish to add to the existing yearly monitoring of the state of agriculture, conducted by the Agricultural institute for the competent ministry, and use evaluation theory and econometric analysis to provide an integral, scientifically supported (evidence-based) assessment of the policy.
The second purpose of our study is to follow, analyse and support the discussions regarding the future CAP with suggestions and empirical analyses. The study group will systematically monitor all official proposals, their amendments, and especially the positions of the many stakeholders included in the process. Based on these proposals, we will prepare reform scenarios and evaluate them (impact assessment) using adapted empirical tools. The initially conducted assessment of existing policy will play an important role in the impact assessment and development of proposals and recommendations to governmental and non-governmental organisations.
We have formed a national study group consisting of individuals representing six research organisations working in the field of agriculture, forestry, public policy assessment (especially agricultural and environmental) and international relations; all have references in the field in question. Work will be conducted in 6 work packages (WPs):
WP 1: Context and approach to assessment. We will formulate the specific research questions and methodology of the project. We will determine the goals of national agricultural policy and intervention logic of the measures. A detailed research plan will be prepared.
WP 2: Indicators of agricultural policy. We will analyse formal and potential indicators that enable the monitoring of the realisation of set goals. A database with indicators will be established. We will analyse changes and provide a preliminary assessment regarding the realisation of agricultural policy goals.
WP 3: Agricultural policy impact assessment using econometric analysis. The WP 2 database will also serve fort he purpose of econometric analysis of the influence of agricultural policy on specific indicators. This analysis will be conducted i
Research Organisation
http://www.sicris.si/public/jqm/prj.aspx?lang=eng&opt=2&subopt=403&hits=1&id=10349&search_term=V4-1608
Researchers
http://www.sicris.si/public/jqm/prj.aspx?lang=eng&opt=2&subopt=402&hits=1&id=10349&search_term=V4-1608
Citations for bibliographic records
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